Archive for November, 2009

Friday Figures for 11/7/2009

I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving! Thank you for taking time out of the biggest shopping day of the year for Black Friday Figures! All information from the GLVAR MLS system. This is exactly what you and our Realtor need to know if you are touring, making offers, or listing property this weekend in the Las Vegas Valley!

Summary:Available units inched up slightly to 11150 units. In a move that was no surprise, the number of bank-owned homes available rose while the number of short sales went down. I would be alarmed by the drop in median prices on non-distressed properties, except that many of those properties were sold as distressed some months ago; they have been rehabbed and are being sold at a premium over the previous sale price. Pending and contingent units slipped a little, but remain well over 14,000. I expected a soft number of closes this week because of the holiday and was pleasantly surprised to see well over 700. Rentals are staying pretty steady both in terms of availability and price, which is good news for investors and renters alike.

Other Information: Wall Street is waiting and watching to see people like you and I are out spending money today. Next week we should start to get information on November economic data, including a rundown of retail sales over the holiday weekend. That information will be chewed over by every economist, politician, journalist, and blogger as some ask whether we need an additional economic stimulus. Of interest to potential buyers, Fannie Mae is trying to tighten up lending standards, which will make it more difficult for some people to be approved for a mortgage, but at least rates are at a record low. If you aren’t sure where you stand, contact a good mortgage broker now (I can give you several people to call, click the Contact Me! link at the side). There seems to be good news coming out of Nevada’s foreclosure mediation program:  not only are foreclosures down 4% (compared with up 19% nationwide), mediators are reporting “good outcomes” as much as 60% of the time. Judges nationwide are continuing to hold banks’ feet to the fire at foreclosure proceedings nationwide.

Read the rest of this entry »

About the Housing Sales Figures

By now everyone has heard that existing home sales were up in October, which drove inventory down. Residential investment and the Case-Shiller are up too. Even sales of new homes are up.

Don’t get to thinking this is a trend.

The reason we had so many closings in October is that buyers were trying to get the deal completed before the first time homebuyer’s tax credit was supposed to have expired. Nobody knew when those contracts were signed that the credit would be continued and expanded. I don’t know how much impact that will have going forward, as most qualified first time buyers have already made their move, and one in 5 current homeowners can’t buy because they are underwater on their primary residence.

For a property to sell in October means there was most likely a signed contract in September, if not last August. It won’t be until mid December before we have accurate, national numbers for November property sales (I will continue to post local data every Friday).

So in short, we may still have a bubble problem in some areas of the country.

Friday Figures for 11/20/2009

It’s time for  Friday Figures! All information from the GLVAR MLS system. It’s critical information you and our Realtor need to know if you are touring, making offers, or listing property this weekend in the Las Vegas Valley!

Summary: We have officially crept back over 11,000 available units, but don’t panic. Instead, remember that we began December of 2007 with over 25,000 available units! There were increases in both distressed and non-distressed properties, which I consider a good sign. What does bother me is the jump in houses under $50,000. This price level in most areas of town is essentially being sold for the value of the land, with the house itself considered a “tear-down” (cash only regardless of what the listing says!). Pending and contingent listings are still strong, but down slightly. This drop is expected, since we had over 800 properties close this week. Next week should have light closings due to the Thanksgiving holiday.

Other Information: Last quarter, 70.1% of homes sold were “affordable,” at least, CNN adds, for those who were employed. As for housing prices going forward, Calculated Risk has compiled a few choice opinions. I am certainly seeing an increase in inventory, and some signs of downward price pressure. As I’ve said before, long term housing recovery depends on people having jobs.

Read the rest of this entry »

Odds and Ends

Hooters Las Vegas is currently in default, and is trying to restructure $147 million in debt.

More on the Cosmopolitan: Deutsche Bank has had to write down a half billion euros — about $748 million — and there is no clear opening date in sight.

I’ve said before that the housing crisis will not be over until the banking crisis is over as well. The two are just too intertwined. Well, banking reforms may be further away than we would like, and the TARP is looking more like a cover-up than a life-preserver every day. In fact, I am more certain than ever that as bad an idea as it is, it would have been a better use of taxpayer money to put up to $100,000 towards every American mortgage than to continue to prop up huge banks that aren’t accountable to anybody. At least paying off people’s mortgages would have changed the fact that we now have record high delinquency rates.

Housing starts — that’s beginning construction of new housing — is at a new low. Permits to build housing are down too. Surprisingly, that’s a good thing if you think we have an oversupply of housing. It of course isn’t very good news at all if you work in construction.

I do have to say that I am very concerned by the disconnect between the economy you and I see on the streets and the economy that Wall Street is apparently enjoying. I can’t see the Wall Street economy continuing forever, nor pulling the rest of the nation up. Let’s face it, most jobs are not created by huge publicly traded corporations, but rather by the small businesses that are having a hard time getting financing right now. And until we have enough jobs, the housing industry will have something less than smooth sailing.

And on a happy note, there is a movement to create a new national park in the Northwest part of town. An area called the Upper Las Vegas Wash is home to many fossils.

Friday Figures for 10/13/2009

Welcome back to Friday Figures! All information from the GLVAR MLS system. It’s critical information you and our Realtor need to know if you are touring, making offers, or listing property this weekend in the Las Vegas Valley!

Summary: It’s really close, but we’ve now had 4 straight weeks of under 11,000 available listings! Prices of available units are sliding a little bit, but time on market is down as well; owners are pricing to sell and sell fast, attracting multiple offers in the process. Pending and contingent listings remain high, and will stay high until the almost 8800 short sales are either approved or foreclosed upon. While we had a light week for closings because of the banking holiday, it’s still a relatively strong number of closes.

Other Information: It remains to be seen whether any of the mortgage modification programs will actually have a long term impact on preventing foreclosures. One thing is for certain: there are plenty of scammers who want to take advantage of people seeking a mortgage modification! If they want a lot of money up front, chances are they aren’t legit. One more thing for those of you with a transaction in escrow: next week will be very busy for title and mortgage people because the following work week is short, and the Monday after that is the end of the month. Take time today to make sure everything is on track and make sure all your documents are in order!

Read the rest of this entry »

Good News for Buyers of Cosmopolitan Condos?

Deutsche Bank, who foreclosed on the Cosmopolitan project last year, is offering to refund up to 74% of the deposit money that would-be buyers put up. However, a lawsuit by those buyers has been filed:

Cosmopolitan’s developers also misled apartment buyers about completion delays, added units, insufficient parking and changes to the builder contract, according to an amended complaint filed in Nevada. The garage and “underground facilities are under the existing water table, requiring 24-hour pumps and containment walls,” it alleges.

It’s easy to forget that Las Vegas became a stopping place in the desert because of underground springs. Apparently that’s exactly what the developers did.

Friday Figures for 11/6/2009

It’s time for Friday Figures! All information from the GLVAR MLS system. This is what you and our Realtor need to know if you are touring, making offers, or listing property this weekend in the Las Vegas Valley!

Summary: Available listings remain under 11,000 for a third week. Prices of available single family homes are stable, but prices of available condos and townhomes are sliding. Since time on market continues to decline, it appears that sellers are pricing aggressively. The number of pending and contingent units is stable, just under 15,000. However, 59% of those are short sale, with a risk of never closing. This week saw fewer closes than the week prior, which is not unusual for the first week of the month. Next week, banks and title offices will be closed on Wednesday the 11th for Veterans Day, so I expect another week of soft closings. The following week may well be madness for title offices as people try to get closed before the Thanksgiving holiday week and the end of the month. Realtors, title officers, loan officers, and buyers all need to be on top of details to make sure those escrows close on time!

Other Information: It’s official: the President has signed an extension of the home buyers tax credit into law; this version includes a credit of up to $6500 for non first time buyers. The same bill also extends unemployment benefits, which is a good thing since the official national unemployment rate is up over 10% for the first time since 1983 (remember, this is the “optimistic” U3 number and doesn’t reflect several types of jobless people). Some experts are noticing “Home Buyers Doing More Shopping than Buying.” And one last item: a round-up of opinions on what is in store for housing prices in Las Vegas.

Read the rest of this entry »

Our Elected Officials at Work

Two little news bits for you.

First, the Senate has attached an extension of the $8000 first time buyers tax credit to a bill extending unemployment aid and passed it unanimously (some restrictions apply, of course). The House of Representatives still has to vote on such a proposal, but a compromise is already in the works and it seems likely they will go along. Update: A bill has passed and will likely soon be signed into law. I know I should be really happy about this, but I have reservations. First, how many qualified first time buyers are left? Second, by continually extending the credit, urgency is lost. Buyers are left wondering if Congress won’t pass a better deal next year! Finally, assuming that urgency is not lost, it adds froth to the market. We have roughly 15,000 pending sales in the Las Vegas Valley; you can’t tell me that’s a normal level.

The second item is undeniably good news here. Clark County wants to raise the fines for not keeping property in good condition. Currently, the fine is $50-200 per day and a maximum of $10,000. They want to raise it to $1000 per day for a maximum of 2 years.  We aren’t talking about mowing the lawn and stuff like that. We’re talking about truly neglectful property owners who allow their properties to become dumping grounds or unsafe places. While some say this is likely to be used against the elderly and the infirm, it will most likely be used against banks who allow foreclosed property to fall into ruin. If you have an opinion that you want heard on this matter, a vote is scheduled for November 17, 2009.

Interesting side note on our County Commission: one of our commissioners won’t be seeking re-election because he is running for Governor next year. His name is Rory Reid. Yes, he’s Senator Harry Reid‘s son.

Hope everyone is planning on dropping by again for Friday Figures! Those who do will be rewarded with knowing more about the Vegas real estate market than most people.