Forbes Predicts Further Declines on Old Data

The other day, I read this Forbes article about how much more we can expect housing prices to fall.  Not too surprisingly, their list of 10 markets that should have the steepest drop — from here! — includes Las Vegas.

They state that the median house price here is roughly $181,700 and that we should expect an additional 25% drop. I have two problems with this. First, the median price of active listings is much lower than Forbes’s figures at $154,900 as of April 13, 2009. Further, my readers know that the median price of homes actually sold has actually been in the $130k range.

A 25% drop from what Forbes claims is the median list price would be $136,275. That’s pretty close to the median sales price we are actually seeing. Do they mean we drop further from here? Or is Forbes accidentally calling a bottom here? Only their columnist knows for certain.

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